These guidelines describe the format you should use, and content you should include, when writing your paper. Deviations from them will negatively affect your paper grade, but following them will positively affect your paper grade (!). 1 Introduction 1. Statement of research question (What is relationship you wish to examine? What is your main independent variable and what is your dependent variable?) Note: this must appear in 1st or 2nd paragraph 2. Motivation (Why is your question important? Why do we need to understand the relationship between your main independent variable (X) on your dependent variable (Y )?) 2 Literature Review All empirical papers include some sort of literature review. In this section of the paper you are basically laying out what is currently known about your topic (or topics similar to yours). For this assignment I want you to: 1. Cite at least 3 economics papers 2. For each paper, write 1-2 paragraphs describing what question the paper seeks to answer, what data is used, and what the key findings are. Discuss also how these results relate to the question you are attempting to answer in your paper. **** The BELOW should not be included in your literature review, but I want you to think about these things as you read the papers in your literature review. **** This is also an opportunity for you to be able to learn a little more about how others think about your topic. In particular, what other variables have they included in their re- gressions? That is, what other factors have other researchers thought should be controlled for? **** The ABOVE should not be included in your literature review, but I want you to think about these things as you read the papers in your literature review. **** 1 3 Data and Descriptive Statistics All empirical papers also provide a section in which they describe the data they will use in the analysis. The backbone of this section will be your Table 1 (see STATA table1 example.do file for instructions on how to make this). In this table you will present basic descriptive statistics of the key variables in your data. Two of these variables must be your X and Y variables. What other variables to include? There are two ways to think of additional variables to include in your Table 1: (1) variables that help describe the basic profile of the observations in your data (e.g. if an observation in your data is an individual, you might provide information on age, gender, education, income, ethnicity, etc); and (2), additional variables you will include as controls in your regressions. For this assignment I want you to: 1. Describe the data you will use to test your research question, including but in no particular order: (a) Describe the source of the data (b) Describe which variables it contains (c) Describe the timeframe for the data (d) Describe the unit of observation (an individual, country, year? Etc) (e) If you have made choices to limit your analysis to certain years, companies, countries etc, justify your choices (you may use the theory to justify these choices or the availability of the data etc) 2. Cite and refer to your descriptive statistics table (Table 1) within this section to help your discussion of describing the data 4 Empirical Analysis 1. First run a simple regression of your dependent variable (Y ) on your main independent variable (X) (a) Describe the regression results – interpret the coefficient estimate for X, explain whether it is statistically significant and at what significance level 2. Next move to the multiple regression framework (a) Think about Omitted Variable Bias – does the simple regression you ran in (a) give an unbiased estimate of the relationship between X and Y ? Think of some (at least one) variable that, if omitted, potentially causes your estimate in (a) to be biased. Go through the logic of what direction the bias should be, and provide a discussion. Then include that variable in the regression. 2 (b) Think about what other variables you might want to add as controls and what other modifications to the regression equation you might want: i.e. which ad- ditional variables to include, interactions, and functional form. Carry out those changes and report your findings. 3. For each additional regression: (a) Interpret your findings in words; do your results support your main hypothesis? (b) Explain why the coefficient of interest (the coefficient on your main X variable) does or does not change between regressions (c) Interpret the coefficients on the additional X variables – i.e. how do these vari- ables relate to the dependent variable Y ? Also, particularly in the case of in- teraction terms (if used), how do these variables alter the interpretation of the relationship between your main X variable and Y ? (d) Discuss which regression equation fits the data best 4. Finally, discuss shortcomings of your research (For example, are there further omitted variables that you don’t have any data for? If so, how would this affect the estimated coefficient of interest? Is it biased? In what direction – larger or smaller? Why? ) 5. Make a table to show all of your regression results (see STATA main table example.do file for instructions on how to make this). 5 Conclusion Summarize your topic and findings 6 Works Cited Format: follow format used in the bibliography of one of your literature review papers. 7 Tables 1. Descriptive statistics table 2. Main regression results table